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Calibrating certainty

Understand each item before testing yourself. Choose honestly whether it already feels familiar or needs practice.

1 of 5Expression

The evidence clearly indicates that…

State a conclusion directly supported by evidence.

Example

The evidence clearly indicates that…

Vocabulary in this set

Distinguish observation, inference, likelihood, and firm conclusion without sounding either vague or absolute.

  1. The evidence clearly indicates that…

    Expression

    State a conclusion directly supported by evidence.

    The evidence clearly indicates that…

  2. One plausible explanation is…

    Expression

    Offer a credible but unproven account.

    One plausible explanation is that the new schedule reduced unnecessary journeys.

  3. That may well have contributed,…

    Expression

    Acknowledge a likely influence without overstating it.

    That may well have contributed, but it would be premature to treat it as the sole factor.

  4. It would be premature to conclude that…

    Expression

    Delay a conclusion that exceeds the evidence.

    That may well have contributed, but it would be premature to treat it as the sole factor.

  5. What we can say with some confidence is…

    Expression

    Define the strongest defensible conclusion.

    Agreed. What we can say with some confidence is that the change coincided with the new schedule.

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